Seasonal Production Trends and Economic Growth Models in Community Gardens as Urban Food Security Initiatives in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia,

Community gardens in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, have emerged as significant urban food security initiatives. Data on garden productivity and socio-economic indicators were collected through surveys and market analysis. A linear regression model was employed to predict future agricultural outputs based on current conditions. Seasonal fluctuations in vegetable yields showed that production peaked during the rainy season, contributing up to 30% of total annual harvests. Economic models indicated a positive correlation between garden size and local income generation. The research underscores the potential of community gardens for enhancing food security and economic stability in urban settings. Investment in infrastructure and training programmes should be prioritised to sustainably expand community gardening initiatives. The empirical specification follows Y=β₀+β^ X+ε, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.