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March 2, 2026Cureus0 citationsOpen Access

Comparative Evaluation of PRISM III, PIM 2, and PELOD Scores as Predictors of Outcome in Pediatric Intensive Care Unit Patients: An Experience From a Single Center in South Gujarat, India

DSDorothy SenguptaSBShreya BhattSPSwati Patel

Key Result

PRISM III score predicted mortality with excellent accuracy (AUC 0.984), outperforming PIM 2 (AUC 0.836) and PELOD (AUC 0.872), in pediatric ICU patients in India with 20.3% observed mortality.

Key Points

  • The study aims to compare the effectiveness of three scoring systems—PRISM III, PIM 2, and PELOD—in predicting mortality in pediatric intensive care unit patients.
  • Conducted a cross-sectional analysis in a pediatric intensive care unit setting.
  • Included patients aged 1 month to 17 years meeting specific criteria.
  • Calculated PIM 2 score within one hour of admission; PRISM III and PELOD scores at 24 hours.
  • Assessed predictive accuracy using ROC curve analysis and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test.
  • Analyzed data from 138 patients, finding a 20.3% overall mortality rate.
  • PRISM III demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy with an ROC curve area of 0.984.
  • PIM 2 and PELOD had ROC areas of 0.836 and 0.872, respectively, indicating lesser effectiveness than PRISM III.
  • All scores showed good calibration, but PRISM III outperformed the others in reliability.

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=138)

Multicenter

No

Structured PICO

Do PRISM III, PIM 2, and PELOD scores accurately predict mortality in pediatric intensive care unit patients?

P
Population
138 pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) patients aged 1 month to 17 years (mean age 62.5 months, median 24 months, 53.6% female) admitted to a single center in South Gujarat, India.
I
Intervention
Mortality prediction using PRISM III, PIM 2, and PELOD scoring systems
O
Outcome
Mortality (survival vs non-survival) during PICU stayhard clinical

In a resource-constrained PICU setting, the PRISM III score provided superior mortality risk prediction and discrimination compared to PIM 2 and PELOD.

Main Result

Effect estimate: AUC 0.984 for PRISM III vs 0.836 PIM 2 and 0.872 PELOD

Absolute Event Rate: 20.3% vs 20.3%

p-value: PRISM III vs PIM 2 p=0.0021; PRISM III vs PELOD p=0.0008

Limitations

  • Single-center study limits generalizability
  • Exclusion of surgical patients
  • Small sample size may affect calibration test accuracy
  • Monetary burden of required investigations limits applicability in resource-limited settings
  • Possible survivorship bias influencing model performance
  • Small sample size
  • Single-center study
  • Hosmer-Lemeshow test sensitivity to sample size which may fail to detect clinically relevant miscalibration in smaller cohorts

Abstract

Aim: To assess and compare Pediatric Risk of Mortality III (PRISM III), Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 (PIM 2), and Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction (PELOD) scores for predicting mortality in a pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) setting. Design and setting: A cross-sectional, hospital-based, analytical observational study conducted in an eight-bed PICU. Methods: PICU patients between the ages of 1 month and 17 years fulfilling the inclusion criteria were included in this study. PIM 2 score was calculated within the first hour of admission; PRISM III and PELOD scores were calculated at 24 hours. Outcomes of survival or non-survival were recorded. Scoring system performance was assessed using indices of discrimination and calibration. Predictive accuracy for mortality was evaluated with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, and calibration between predicted and observed mortality was examined using the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. Results: Data from 138 patients were analyzed (M: F=0.8:1) with a mean age of 62.5 months and a median of 24 months. Respiratory ailments were the highest (46.4%), followed by central nervous system diseases (18.1%), and overall mortality was 20.3%. Area under the ROC curve was 0.984 for PRISM III, 0.836 for PIM 2, and 0.872 for PELOD. PRISM III was a better predictor of mortality risk, followed by PIM 2 and PELOD. The goodness-of-fit test showed good calibration for all three scores, but PRISM III had the better power compared to PIM 2 and PELOD. Conclusion: In our PICU setting, the PRISM III score was a better predictor of mortality risk, and the performance of PELOD was the least.

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Cite This Study

Sengupta et al. (2026) conducted an observational in Pediatric intensive care unit patients aged 1 month to 17 years admitted to medical PICU in South Gujarat, India (n=138). PRISM III score vs. PIM 2 score and PELOD score was evaluated on Mortality prediction accuracy in PICU patients (AUC 0.984 for PRISM III vs 0.836 PIM 2 and 0.872 PELOD, p=PRISM III vs PIM 2 p=0.0021; PRISM III vs PELOD p=0.0008). PRISM III score predicted mortality with excellent accuracy (AUC 0.984), outperforming PIM 2 (AUC 0.836) and PELOD (AUC 0.872), in pediatric ICU patients in India with 20.3% observed mortality.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a52e64f1e85e5c73bf21abhttps://doi.org/10.7759/cureus.104420
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