This analysis assesses recidivism prediction algorithms, highlighting their opacity and implications for enforcement and harm.
Ten criminal justice algorithmic systems (COMPAS, PSA, SAS Risk Score, OASys, PredPol/Geolitica, ShotSpotter, Palantir Gotham, and others) scored on O (score calculation opacity — trade secret protection), R (feedback loop in predictive policing), and C (jurisdictional lock-in, legislative mandate binding). Spearman ρ between Void Index and documented harm: ProPublica racial false positive rates, Dressel & Farid accuracy vs. human baseline, Lum & Isaac predictive policing feedback harm, ACLU false arrest rates. EU AI Act Annex III §6 — PROHIBITED category for predictive policing. Highest adversarial value: framework survival in this domain answers the 'soft social domain' objection.
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Anthony W. Eckert (2026) studied this question.
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