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March 3, 2026Smart Agricultural Technology5 citationsOpen Access

Smart irrigation management: IoT-based RNN-LSTM model for soil moisture prediction in precision agriculture

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SMShamala ManiamYTYei-Kheng TeeEMErfan Memar

Key Points

  • Predictions achieved a coefficient of determination of 0.6723, explaining about 67% of the data's variance.
  • The RNN-LSTM model recorded a root mean square error of 1.222 and mean absolute error of 0.6374.
  • IoT-enabled sensors provided real-time soil moisture updates throughout a six-month deployment period.
  • Although effective, extending seasonal coverage and addressing spatial variations in larger fields is necessary.

Abstract

This study presents an IoT-enabled smart irrigation management system utilizing subsurface soil moisture sensors and a recurrent neural network–long short-term memory (RNN-LSTM) model to predict soil moisture in real-time for precision agriculture. The proposed system was deployed in Malaysia for six months, achieving a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.222, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.6374, and a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.6723, explaining approximately 67% of the variance in the observed data. Additionally, 95.49% of predictions fell within ±5% of actual measured values, a tolerance-based metric distinct from classification accuracy. Outlier analysis revealed that the largest residuals occurred during heavy rainfall events, and adopting a robust Huber loss function improved R² to 0.70. The results indicate that the system can effectively support irrigation scheduling, although future work should extend seasonal coverage and address spatial variability in larger fields.

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Cite This Study

Maniam et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a767d5badf0bb9e87e2909https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atech.2026.101866
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