This analysis compares suicide risk prediction models for attempts and deaths in individuals with mental health disorders, suggesting challenges with current methodologies.
Conclusions: Although nonfatal and fatal suicidal events share predictors, their predictive strength and function differ. These differences underscore challenges in using models trained on nonfatal outcomes to identify risk of suicide death and contribute to the ongoing debate over whether suicidal thoughts and behaviors reflect a continuum of severity or distinct clinical pathways.
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Marcus et al. (2026) studied this question.
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