Retrospective analysis shows improved waiting times and scheduling accuracy using machine learning in patient-centered care.
Background: Operating room (OR) scheduling is critical for timely patient care, optimal resource utilization, and equitable surgical access. Despite the cost and complexity of ORs, few tools address patient scheduling comprehensively. This study evaluates ORCAL (Operating Room Coordination and Allocation at Centre Antoine Lacassagne), a scheduling assistant designed to improve OR scheduling efficiency. Machine Learning (ML) was integrated to enhance prediction of surgery dates and scheduling reliability. Study: This retrospective, single-center study included all patients operated on between May 1, 2022, and May 1, 2024, excluding procedures requiring emergency intervention. Patients were prospectively assigned one of four priority grades reflecting clinical recommendations and surgical timelines. ORCAL replaced manual scheduling with an algorithm using a priority coefficient based on assigned grade, time since consultation, and patient availability date. Outcomes included waiting times, variability in priority coefficients, planned and actual surgical time per operative day, and discrepancies between initial and actual surgery dates. Multiple ML models were trained and tested on 1,485 ORCAL-scheduled cases to predict the actual date of surgery and evaluate scheduling accuracy. Performance was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R²) and error metrics. Results: ORCAL reduced the average waiting time by 7.5 days (p < 0.0001), with greatest benefit for grade 1 cases (−12.3 days). The number of operative days, defined as the number of room-days available for surgery, decreased (417 vs. 521, p < 0.001), while the planned surgical time per operative day increased (488.1±155.3 vs. 462.4±163.9 minutes, p = 0.02). The best ML model (random forest) achieved R²=0.9716 and reduced date discrepancies between the initially proposed and the actual surgery dates to 12.7±23.6 days. Conclusion: ORCAL improves surgical scheduling efficiency and accuracy while supporting equitable, patient-centered care.
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Culié et al. (2026) studied this question.
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