Resilience-Oriented Recovery Optimization of Metro Systems Under Extreme Rainfall-Induced Urban Flooding Disruptions

Climate-induced natural hazards are increasingly disrupting metro operations in megacities, necessitating robust and generalizable frameworks for system-wide resilience. While current studies often treat infrastructure degradation, operational adjustment, and passenger flow redistribution as separate problems, this study proposes a resilience-oriented decision framework that couples these universal processes together to address diverse disruptive events. Taking extreme rainfall as a critical representative scenario, a multi-objective recovery optimization model is developed to jointly optimize repair resource cost and average section saturation. Resilience is quantified through the demand satisfaction ratio over the disruption–recovery process, ensuring the framework’s applicability across different hazard types. A case study of the Shanghai metro system under a real extreme rainfall event demonstrates the model’s efficacy in capturing complex system dynamics. Results show a clear Pareto trade-off between repair resource cost and average section saturation, while increasing service capacity on adjacent lines improves the Pareto frontier. Prioritizing repairs on lines with the fewest damaged sections effectively reduces network saturation by restoring corridor throughput. The resilience curve proves that higher repair resources not only shorten recovery time but also raise the minimum demand satisfaction ratio. These findings provide a scalable methodology for designing resilient metro recovery strategies under various climate-related disruptions globally.