The model reveals risks to human agency in the AGI transition, suggesting structural reforms are needed.
This record contains the complete Human Redundancy Crisis (HRC) research package — a formal dynamical systems model describing the civilizational-level risk to human agency during the AGI transition period (2025–2065). **What HRC models:**The model formalizes three simultaneous pressures on human agency: AGI-driven labor displacement (TR), institutional stagnation (SI), and resource depletion (RB). The central variable — Human Agency Index (HAI = AP^0.45 × SI^0.35 × RB^0.20) — integrates these pressures into a measurable civilizational indicator. **Core finding:**The system has two stable attractors: E3 (collapse, HAI→0.25) and E1 (symbiosis, HAI→0.72+). The bifurcation threshold TR* = θ/ρ = 0.225 was crossed empirically around 1993 — coinciding with the documented onset of productivity-wage decoupling in OECD economies. Without corrective action, median T_collapse ≈ 41 years (2066), with P(collapse < 50 years) = 75%. With symbiotic AGI architecture (λ₄ ≥ 0.25) and institutional reform (φ ≥ 0.04), the system stabilizes indefinitely. **Key innovation:**The symbiotic parameter λ₄ formally embeds HAI into the AGI utility function U_AGI += λ₄ × HAI. This makes human agency preservation a rational optimization target for AGI systems — not a moral constraint. This is the structural argument for symbiosis. **Package structure (18 documents, 8 layers):**- Layer 0: HRC_Condensed_v1.0 — single-file entry point for reviewers- Layer 1: Conceptual (main paper + executive summary)- Layer 2: Formal specification (Canonical v1.2 base + v1.3 institutional)- Layer 3: Mathematical analysis (4D Lyapunov + 5D K_conc bifurcation)- Layer 4: Numerical simulation (RK4, 4 scenarios, Monte Carlo 400 runs)- Layer 5: Empirical validation (proxy variables, ρ≈0.072 estimate, country profiles)- Layer 6: Robustness (stress tests, shock typology, antifragility)- Layer 7: Extensions (political economy K_conc, regional spillovers, policy roadmap)- Layer 8: Methodological (package index, audit synthesis) Relation to SCF:**HRC is a structural component of the Symbiotic Codes Framework (SCF). λ₄ operationalizes the S(s) symbiosis state function. φ_reform maps to the institutional layer of SCF. IDJ (Index of Demographic Justification, UDC v7.0) serves as an empirical proxy for HAI at the urban scale. License: CC BY-ND 4.0
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Nikolai Mishko (2026) studied this question.
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