Community health centers in Senegal face challenges in resource allocation and service delivery efficiency. A systematic literature review was conducted, focusing on existing models of community health centre performance evaluation. A time-series forecasting model with ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) methodology was developed for forecasting future costs and benefits. The analysis revealed that a significant proportion (35%) of healthcare resources are underutilized across Senegalese centers, indicating potential inefficiencies in service delivery. Implementing the proposed ARIMA-based forecasting model can help identify optimal resource allocation strategies to enhance cost-effectiveness and improve service efficiency. Senegal should prioritise investment in training healthcare workers and improving infrastructure to optimise centre performance using the forecasted model. Treatment effect was estimated with logit (pᵢ) =₀+^ Xᵢ, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.
Diop et al. (Wed,) studied this question.
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