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March 12, 2026Sustainability0 citationsOpen Access

Intelligent Risk Early Warning Model for Coupling Risk of Oil Pump Pipeline System in Station Under Soft Soil Foundation Conditions Based on ABC-XGBoost Algorithm

SYShanqing YuXFXiangsong FengLCLi‐Qun Chen

Key Points

  • The aim is to develop a risk early warning model for oil pump pipeline systems built on soft soil foundations.
  • Developed a hybrid model combining ABC algorithm and XGBoost for risk assessment.
  • Optimized hyperparameters such as iteration number, tree depth, and learning rate using the artificial bee colony algorithm.
  • Utilized multidimensional data including internal pressure and vibration amplitude for real-time analysis.
  • Validated the model with real station data to assess its predictive performance.
  • Achieved an accuracy of 95.22% in risk prediction.
  • Improved predictive performance by 2.61% compared to the unoptimized model.
  • Effectively identified risks related to foundation settlement and mechanical vibrations.

Abstract

With rapid economic development in China’s coastal regions, more oil stations are being built on soft soil foundations, facing risks such as foundation settlement and pipeline failures. Mechanical vibrations of oil pumps can induce resonance in pipelines, leading to rupture, leakage, and fire or explosion, threatening both safety and sustainable operation. Traditional monitoring methods, relying on physical models or data-driven approaches alone, are limited in capturing these coupled risks. This study proposes an ABC-XGBoost hybrid risk warning model, where the artificial bee colony algorithm optimizes XGBoost hyperparameters (iteration number, tree depth, learning rate) to improve predictive accuracy. By using multidimensional data—such as internal pressure, vibration amplitude, and ground settlement—the model evaluates stress and resonance risks in real time, supporting sustainable safety management. Validation with real station data shows an accuracy of 95.22%, 2.61% higher than the unoptimized model, demonstrating effective early warning and contribution to sustainable pipeline operation.

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Cite This Study

Yu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b2588496eeacc4fcec8487https://doi.org/10.3390/su18052653
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