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Develop a framework to quantify reliability in municipal infrastructure systems and estimate trends.

March 14, 2026Open Access

Methodological Evaluation and Panel-Data Estimation of Municipal Infrastructure System Reliability in Senegal, 2000–2026

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Develop a framework to quantify reliability in municipal infrastructure systems and estimate trends.
Utilized a panel-data econometric model for analysis.
Compiled a dataset on water supply, sanitation, road networks, and public lighting.
Employed fixed-effects estimator to model reliability.
System reliability showed a significant decline averaging 1.7 percentage points per year.
Identified capital expenditure volatility and institutional fragmentation as key negative predictors.
Highlighted operation and maintenance investments as having diminishing positive returns.

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Panel-data econometric model reveals declining system reliability in municipalities, indicating vital funding needs.

Diop et al. (2004) studied this question.

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