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March 14, 2026Science AdvancesOpen Access

Multiannual environmental forcing shapes breeding phenology and success in a sub-Antarctic seabird

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Authors

GBGaël BardonTBTéo BarrachoJDJoël M. Durant

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Overview

Long-term analysis reveals climate impacts breeding timing and success in king penguins, indicating resilience to change.

Key Points

  • To investigate how climate and oceanic variability affect breeding timing and success in king penguins over 24 years.
  • Analysis of 24 years of data from 17,000 marked king penguins
  • Sliding-window analysis of environmental factors
  • Assessment of breeding phenology and success rates
  • Breeding phenology advanced by 19 days
  • Breeding success increased from 44% in 2000 to 62% in 2023
  • Sea temperature and primary production predicted phenology and breeding success with significant lags

Cite This Study

Bardon et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b4fb9db39f7826a300be1fhttps://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aea6342
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