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March 14, 2026European Journal of Preventive Cardiology2 citations

Mortality score in chronic coronary syndrome: prediction model from the ISCHEMIA trial

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ENEliano Pio NavareseGTGiuseppe TalanasDKD.J. Kereiakes

Key Result

The ISCHEMIA-PREDICT score stratifies mortality risk in chronic coronary syndrome, validated in over 23,000 patients, aiding in tailored clinical decision-making.

Key Points

  • The aim is to create a mortality risk score for chronic coronary syndrome patients using common clinical data.
  • Utilized data from the ISCHEMIA trial with 5179 participants
  • Included factors such as glomerular filtration rate and ST-segment depression
  • Developed a risk score for mortality prediction
  • Validated the score in a large independent registry with over 23,000 patients
  • The score effectively differentiated between lower and higher risk patients
  • Showed strong discrimination ability for predicting all-cause mortality
  • Confirmed its predictive performance in a contemporary cohort

Structured PICO

Does the ISCHEMIA-PREDICT risk score accurately predict all-cause mortality in patients with chronic coronary syndrome?

P
Population
5,179 patients with chronic coronary syndrome from the ISCHEMIA trial (derivation cohort) and over 23,000 patients from an independent multicentre registry (validation cohort).
I
Intervention
ISCHEMIA-PREDICT risk score (incorporating glomerular filtration rate, ST-segment depression, exercise duration, systolic blood pressure, multivessel coronary disease, and initial treatment strategy)
O
Outcome
All-cause deathhard clinical

The ISCHEMIA-PREDICT risk score uses routinely available clinical data to accurately predict all-cause mortality in patients with chronic coronary syndrome, aiding in risk-guided decision-making for intensified medical or invasive therapy.

Abstract

What we did and found: Using the randomized ISCHEMIA trial (5179 patients), we built a risk score from routinely available data-glomerular filtration rate, ST-segment depression and exercise duration on a stress test, systolic blood pressure, multivessel coronary disease, and initial treatment strategy (invasive vs. conservative). The score clearly separated lower- from higher-risk patients and showed strong discrimination. Its performance for all-cause death was confirmed in an independent, contemporary multicentre registry of over 23 000 patients with long-term follow-up. Why it matters for patients and clinicians: Because it relies on familiar information collected in everyday practice, ISCHEMIA-PREDICT can help clinicians quickly gauge mortality risk in chronic coronary syndrome patients and tailor care accordingly-supporting intensified medical therapy and consideration of invasive management in those at highest risk. A web calculator enables point-of-care use and risk-guided decision-making.

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Cite This Study

Navarese et al. (2026) studied this question. The ISCHEMIA-PREDICT score stratifies mortality risk in chronic coronary syndrome, validated in over 23,000 patients, aiding in tailored clinical decision-making.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b4fbf9b39f7826a300c8dbhttps://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag116
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