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Retrospective cohort study shows elevated anion gaps increase hospital mortality risk in ICU patients with liver cirrhosis, indicating important prognostic value.
Data of patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) were collected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database to explore whether anion gap (AG) and albumin-adjusted AG (AA-AG) values were associated with outcomes in patients with LC. We retrospectively analyzed data of adult patients with LC. Based on the AG and AA-AG level, patients were then divided into groups according to third percentile. Lowess smoothing was first applied to visualize the crude relationship between AG or AA-AG and inhospital mortality. Survival curves were generated with the Kaplan–Meier and compared by log-rank test. Multivariable logistic regression was constructed to quantify the independent effect of elevated or AA-AG on hospital mortality after adjustment multiple confounding factors. Model discrimination was assessed with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Lowess Smoothing technique showed that AG and AA-AG were associated with hospital mortality for patients with LC. Crude outcomes and Kaplan–Meier survival curve analysis revealed that hospital survival rates of patients with high AG and AA-AG values were significantly lower ( P < .001) compared to those with lower values. After adjusting for multiple confounding factors, analysis revealed that elevated AG (>19 mmol/L) was an independent risk factor for increased inhospital mortality in patients with LC (odds ratio: 1.887 [95% CI: 1.208–2.95]; P < .05), and elevated AA-AG (>21.5 mmol/L) was an independent risk factor for increased inhospital mortality in patients with LC (odds ratio: 1.892 [95% CI: 1.229–2.912]; P < .05). Specifically, the AG demonstrated an AUC of 0.6704 (95% CI: 0.63–0.71) in predicting hospital mortality. The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), on the other hand, exhibited a higher predictive accuracy with an AUC of 0.7186 (95% CI: 0.68–0.76). When AG and MELD were combined, the predictive performance further improved, yielding an AUC of 0.7302 (95% CI: 0.69–0.77). Similarly, the AA-AG showed an AUC of 0.684 (95% CI: 0.64–0.73) in predicting hospital mortality, and when combined with the MELD, the AUC increased to 0.7376 (95% CI: 0.70–0.78). Elevated serum AG (≥19 mmol/L) and AA-AG (≥21.5 mmol/L) were risk factors for inhospital mortality among critically ill patients with LC.
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Zhao et al. (2026) studied this question.
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