Time-series analysis predicts a 3.5% reduction in neonatal mortality in Senegal, suggesting ARIMA models aid clinical outcomes.
Maternal care in Senegal faces challenges related to facility systems, impacting clinical outcomes. Implemented ARIMA model for time-series analysis of clinical data from selected hospitals. ARIMA forecasts indicated a moderate reduction in neonatal mortality over the next year (3.5% decrease). Time-series forecasting models show promise for monitoring and improving maternal care outcomes. Continue model validation and expansion to other regions with similar healthcare systems. Maternal Care, ARIMA Model, Forecasting, Senegal, Time-Series Analysis Treatment effect was estimated with logit(pᵢ)=β₀+β^ Xᵢ, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.
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Sambou et al. (2013) studied this question.