Complex (Multi-model) Forecasting of Surface Wind Gusts with Lead Times up to Six Days for the Territory of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Central Asia’s States

Q: What does this research mean for the field?

The new forecasting technology increases the accuracy of squall wind gust predictions compared to original models. Novelty: ClaimNovelty.NOVEL_FINDING. Consensus alignment: ConsensusAlignment.NEUTRAL.

A. N. Bagrov; V. A. Gordin; N. A. Svetlova; E. N. Shakot’ko

doi:10.3103/s1068373926010048

January 1, 2026Russian Meteorology and Hydrology

Complex (Multi-model) Forecasting of Surface Wind Gusts with Lead Times up to Six Days for the Territory of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Central Asia’s States

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Key Points

The aim is to enhance the accuracy of forecasting surface wind gusts using multiple models.
Developed a postprocessing technology for forecasting wind gusts at weather stations.
Utilized outputs from several forecasting models to create a composite forecast.
Implemented technology at the Hydrometeorological Research Center of Russia.
Observed increased accuracy of forecasts compared to original models.
Demonstrated benefits in forecasting wind gusts up to six days in advance.

Implication

Complex forecasting technology improves wind gust predictions in various regions, suggesting enhanced accuracy for operational use.

Abstract

A technology for operational complex forecasting (postprocessing)1 of squall wind gusts at the points of weather station location is described. The technology was implemented at the Hydrometeorological Research Center of Russia. It uses the results of forecasts of several forecast models and the complex forecast of average wind. The tests have shown an increase in forecast accuracy as compared to original models.

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Cite This Study

Bagrov et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b64c33b42794e3e660d951 https://doi.org/10.3103/s1068373926010048

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Complex (Multi-model) Forecasting of Surface Wind Gusts with Lead Times up to Six Days for the Territory of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Central Asia’s States

Key Points

Implication

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

Complex (Multi-model) Forecasting of Surface Wind Gusts with Lead Times up to Six Days for the Territory of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Central Asia’s States

Key Points

Implication

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

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