Time-series study evaluates tuberculosis mortality trends in Salvador, suggesting the need for improved public health policies.
Key Points
The aim is to evaluate tuberculosis mortality trends in Salvador from 2000 to 2023, particularly in light of socioeconomic challenges.
Conducted a time-series analysis using mortality data from SIM/DATASUS.
Utilized a joinpoint regression model to assess annual percent change in mortality rates.
Included all tuberculosis-related deaths from 2000 to 2023 without age or sex restrictions.
Calculated mortality rates per 100,000 inhabitants with a 95% confidence interval.
A total of 2,844 tuberculosis-related deaths were recorded from 2000 to 2023.
The highest mortality rates were among males (71.5%) and the 50–59 age group.
Joinpoint analysis revealed three distinct mortality trends with p<0.05: sharp decline from 2000–2004, slight decline from 2004–2020, and an increase from 2020–2023.
The average annual percent change for the entire period was -1.3%, indicating an overall decline despite recent increases.