The growing use of drones by state militaries is reshaping the dynamics of asymmetric warfare across Africa. Governments confronting insurgent movements increasingly rely on unmanned aerial systems for surveillance, intelligence gathering, and targeted strikes. However, insurgent groups are not passive recipients of this technological shift. Instead, they adapt by developing new tactics designed to evade aerial observation or exploit the same technologies themselves. This article examines how drone proliferation affects the strategic interaction between state forces and non-state armed groups. Drawing on case studies from the Sahel, Somalia, Libya, and the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, the analysis explores how insurgent movements respond to drone surveillance through dispersion, concealment, and the adoption of commercial drone technologies for reconnaissance and limited attack operations. The article argues that while drones provide governments with significant operational advantages, they also trigger cycles of tactical adaptation that reshape the nature of insurgent warfare. Rather than eliminating asymmetry, drone technologies contribute to the emergence of a contested vertical battlespace in which both state and non-state actors compete for control of aerial observation.
Johan G.L. Verheyden (Sun,) studied this question.