Questionnaire study finds no accuracy improvement in bankruptcy predictions among loan officers with different information loads, suggesting information overload.
ABSTRACT: One hundred and twenty-two bank loan officers participated in a questionnaire study of the effect of accounting information load on their ability to predict bankruptcy. The officers were randomly assigned to one of three experimental treatment groups, each representing a different accounting information load, and asked to predict which of ten sample firms would declare bankruptcy within a subsequent three-year period. Officers with the heaviest information load had no greater predictive accuracy than officers with a lesser information load, and used significantly more time to assimilate the data. These findings indicate the occurrence of accounting information overload.
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Carolyn Casey (1980) studied this question.
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