Hydro-Mechanical Performance and Stability of Tunnel Faces Excavated Entirely Within Confined Aquifers: Physical Model and Numerical Validation

In this study, we explore the stability of shield tunnel faces excavated entirely within confined aquifers through a combined physical investigation. A series of orthogonally designed model tests were performed to examine how the hydraulic head difference (Δh) and aquitard thickness (M) jointly influence face stability and seepage behavior. Our results reveal a distinct concave-downward pore-pressure profile and a steep hydraulic gradient immediately ahead of the excavation face. Excavation-induced stress redistribution was largely restricted to the aquifer, whereas the overlying aquitard exhibited negligible disturbance due to its low permeability and higher strength. The evolution of stress disturbance followed a three-stage process encompassing initial disturbance, progressive development, and large-scale destabilization. Deformation contours exhibited a conical failure zone with normalized width and height ranging from 0.7D to 1.0D and 1.7D to 1.86D. Surface settlements remained within ±1 mm, confirming that deformation was effectively confined below the aquitard. Numerical simulations reproduced the overall hydro-mechanical response, validating the experimental observations but slightly overpredicting support pressures due to the absence of arching effects. The findings highlight Δh/M as the dominant control parameter, with aquitard thickness exerting a moderating influence.