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The aim is to present a new model explaining the Tunguska event as a cascading fragmentation airburst.

March 21, 2026Open Access

Tunguska 1908: A Cascading Fragmentation Airburst Model

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The aim is to present a new model explaining the Tunguska event as a cascading fragmentation airburst.
Analyzed energy release and fragmentation patterns in the atmosphere.
Examined electromagnetic and optical anomalies as secondary effects.
Developed predictions based on the proposed model for future testing.
Confirmed the airburst occurred at a height of about 5–15 km, releasing 10–20 Mt of TNT equivalent.
Explained the radial forest-fall pattern without an impact crater.
Predicted fine-grained refractory particles in polar ice cores as future evidence.

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This analysis proposes a fragmentation airburst model for the Tunguska event, implying new insights into cosmic explosions.

Vladyslav Hruznov (2026) studied this question.

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