Comparison of Improved Fisher Discriminant Analysis and Random Forest for Mine Water Inrush Source Identification: Performance in Single-Mine and Multi-Mine Scenarios

Rapid and accurate identification of water inrush sources is essential for the prevention and control of coal mine water hazards. Fisher discriminant analysis and random forest are widely applied, but their performance comparison and applicability under single-mine and multi-mine scenarios remain to be investigated. This study takes the Tunlan Mine in Shanxi Province, China, as an example and evaluates both models using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and confusion matrix. A joint discrimination scheme is used to explore their generalization ability. In the single-mine scenario, the improved Fisher algorithm achieves an overall accuracy of 93% and the random forest model achieves 87%, indicating that the former has greater advantages when data distribution is relatively linear. In the multi-mine joint discrimination scenario, the random forest model yields accuracies of 77–98%, far exceeding those of the Fisher algorithm and demonstrating clear superiority in handling complex nonlinear data. The results show that model performance depends primarily on data quality and feature distribution rather than solely on sample size. This study provides a scientific basis for selecting water source identification algorithms in different scenarios and has practical value for improving coal mine water hazard prevention and control.