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March 25, 2026Prehospital and Disaster Medicine

Daily Surge: How Do We Define Same and How Do We Plan to Staff the Inevitable Surge Which Will Come When It Comes!

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Authors

MMMichael MolloyMMMichael MolloyMSM. Damiette Smit

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Overview

Trend analysis evaluates attendance patterns in a rural ED, suggesting improved staffing strategies to handle surges.

Key Points

  • To define surge attendance and develop staffing plans for a rural emergency department facing increasing patient volumes.
  • Conducted trend analysis of attendance reports over 10 years (2014-2024).
  • Evaluated daily attendance patterns to identify peak times and predict future bottlenecks.
  • Data analyzed using Excel for statistical evaluation.
  • Daily attendance increased from an average of 93.12 in 2014 to 169.83 in 2024.
  • In 2024, there were 304 days with attendance above 120, a significant rise from just 22 days in 2015.
  • The standard deviation of daily attendance increased, indicating greater variability in attendance numbers.

Cite This Study

Molloy et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69c37b74b34aaaeb1a67dde5https://doi.org/10.1017/s1049023x26101861
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Ensuring Staffing Keeps Pace with Growth in Attendances! Historic Attendance Trend Analysis with Implications for Future Staffing.2026
  2. 2Enhancing Emergency Department Management: A Data-Driven Approach to Detect and Predict Surge Persistence2024 · 1 citations
  3. 3Octogenarian and Nonagenarian Attendances to an Irish ED: A Rapidly Growing and Aging Cohort!2026
  4. 4Shifting patterns in emergency department attendance: a time series analysis2025 · 2 citations
  5. 5Emergency Department Overcrowding Despite Lower Post-Pandemic Volumes: A Multicenter Study2026