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This analysis evaluates climate change and population growth impacts on future predictions, suggesting limitations.
It is possible to make a probable prognosis of world development based on the earth’s climate, the world’s population, and the sum of knowledge accumulated by humanity for all its history. The world’s population has increased hyperbolically according to Heinz von Foerster’s law, but because of the present unprecedented problem of climate change, caused by the burning of fossil fuels, primarily coal and oil, we cannot predict the world’s future for more than one generation ahead. The greenhouse effect and the political and economic actions needed to reduce the carbon dioxide content of our atmosphere are discussed.
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Byalko et al. (2012) studied this question.
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