Fracture Risk in Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance

Altogether, 200 patients experienced 385 fractures. Compared with expected rates in the community, statistically significant increases were seen for fractures at most axial sites, for example, vertebrae (SIR, 6.3; 95% CI, 5.2-7.5). There was a slight increase in hip (SIR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.2) but not distal forearm fractures (SIR, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.4-1.5). The relative risk (SIR) of any axial fracture was 2.7 (95% CI, 2.3-3.1) compared with only 1.1 (95% CI, 0.9-1.4) for all limb fractures combined. In a multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of any subsequent fracture were age (hazard ratio [HR] per 10-year increase, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.6) and corticosteroid use (HR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.2-2.6); greater weight at diagnosis (HR per 10 kg, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.8-0.9), and IgG monoclonal protein (HR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.5-0.97) were protective. Baseline monoclonal protein level, a determinant of myeloma progression, did not predict fracture risk. Thus, the risk of axial, but not peripheral, fractures is increased among MGUS patients even before progression to myeloma. The pathophysiologic basis for this should be determined because elevated bone turnover, for example, might be treatable.