This review analyzes the impact of climate change on carbon sequestration in eastern boundary upwelling systems, indicating potential shifts in ecosystem services.
The biological carbon pump (BCP) transports carbon fixed by phytoplankton into the deep ocean through multiple pathways and leads to net carbon dioxide sequestration. The BCP is very active in highly productive eastern boundary upwelling systems (EBUSs); however, the extent to which climate change will affect this key ecosystem service remains uncertain. Although this review and synthesis focuses on results from the California Current Ecosystem (the most extensively studied EBUS), similarities and differences are also noted with the Benguela, Canary, and Humboldt ecosystems. We focus on vertical carbon export mediated by sinking particles (responsible for over half of the BCP in EBUSs), as well as subduction of organic matter and vertically migrating zooplankton and fish. We suggest that a plug-flow-reactor conceptual model can be used to link BCP results with physical circulation changes within EBUSs to predict whether climate change will lead to increased or decreased biologically mediated CO2 uptake.
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Stukel et al. (2026) studied this question.
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