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This research aims to quantify how changing agroclimatic factors impact the yield of spring wheat in the Trans-Ural steppe.

Formation of Spring Wheat Yield under Climate Change Conditions in the Trans-Ural Steppe

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This research aims to quantify how changing agroclimatic factors impact the yield of spring wheat in the Trans-Ural steppe.
Analyzed data from state meteorological stations and field experiments from 1966 to 2023.
Assessed annual precipitation and air temperature changes over time.
Calculated correlations between precipitation amounts and wheat yield.
Average grain yield was low at 0.914 t/ha with a 42.9% variation coefficient.
Increased precipitation in May and June positively influenced wheat yield, with yield increases of 0.132 t/ha and 0.214 t/ha, respectively.
An average rise in air temperature of 0.038°C per year negatively affected wheat yields, especially in May, June, and July.

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Quantitative assessment reveals climate change negatively affects spring wheat yield due to changing precipitation and temperatures.

Ismagilov et al. (2025) studied this question.

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