Why the study?
Diabetes-related cardiovascular mortality had been steadily declining over past decades, but the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on this trend had not been defined.
Did the COVID-19 pandemic increase diabetes-related cardiovascular mortality in the United States?
Did the COVID-19 pandemic increase diabetes-related cardiovascular mortality in the United States?
The first year of the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a sharp 15.5% increase in diabetes-related cardiovascular mortality, reversing a 20-year declining trend and disproportionately affecting younger and minority populations.
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
Pandemic onset was associated with excess diabetes-CV mortality reversing prior declines; leaves open causal pathways and mitigation strategies in observational data.
Background In the past few decades, diabetes-related cardiovascular mortality has been steadily declining. However, the impact of the COVID19 pandemic on this trend has not been previously defined. Methods and Results Diabetes-related cardiovascular mortality data were extracted for each year between 1999 and 2020 from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER) database. Regression analysis was used to calculate the trend in the 2 decades before the pandemic (1999-2019) and thereby estimate the excess cardiovascular mortality in 2020. There was a 29.2% fall in the diabetes-related cardiovascular age-adjusted mortality rate between 1999 to 2019, largely driven by a 41% decrease in ischemic heart disease deaths. In comparison to 2019, there was an overall 15.5% increase in the diabetes-related cardiovascular age-adjusted mortality rate in the first year of the pandemic, mainly due to a 14.1% rise in ischemic heart disease deaths. Younger patients (under 55 years) and the Black population experienced the greatest increase in diabetes-related cardiovascular age-adjusted mortality rate (24.0% and 25.3%, respectively). Trend analysis estimated 16 009 excess diabetes-related cardiovascular deaths in 2020, with the majority due to ischemic heart disease (8504). Black and Hispanic or Latino populations had at least one-fifth of their 2020 diabetes-related cardiovascular age-adjusted mortality rate as excess deaths (22.3% and 20.2%, respectively). Conclusions There was a sharp rise in diabetes-related cardiovascular mortality during the first pandemic year. Black, Hispanic or Latino, and young people showed the largest increases in diabetes-related cardiovascular mortality. Targeted health policies could help address the disparities observed in this analysis.
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Bashar et al. (2023) studied this question.
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