Synapse
⌘+K
Synapse
PulseExploreClubsResearchersJournals
Instagram
HomeClubsExplore
April 1, 1963Management Science

An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts

View Full Paper
Ask AI
Bookmark
Share

Authors

NDNorman C. DalkeyRAND CorporationOHOlaf HelmerUniversity of Southern California

Discussion

Loading...

Member takes

Implication

Experimental study demonstrates iterative questionnaires with controlled feedback elicit reliable consensus among experts, highlighting a structured method for group decision-making.

Key Points

  • To evaluate the DELPHI method as a structured technique for deriving reliable consensus from a panel of experts.
  • Conducted an experimental evaluation of the DELPHI procedure with subject-matter experts.
  • Administered sequential, in-depth questionnaires interspersed with controlled summary feedback of group opinions.
  • Demonstrated that controlled feedback across successive survey rounds promotes convergence of expert judgments.
  • Established a systematic framework for eliciting group consensus while mitigating direct interpersonal bias.

Cite This Study

Dalkey et al. (1963) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d7ec04f39344339dd18d64https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.9.3.458
View Full Paper
Ask AI
Bookmark
Share

Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1The Delphi-An Evaluation Tool1991 · 1 citations
  2. 2Developing Consensus Using the Delphi Method2026
  3. 3Consulting the Oracle? eDelphi in Trichology2025
  4. 4An introduction to Delphi studies and consensus methods for genetic counselors2025
  5. 5Research guidelines for the Delphi survey technique2000 · 3,778 citations