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April 10, 20260 citationsOpen Access

A Framework for Selecting Climate Projections for Marine Spatial Research and Planning: A U.S. West Coast Case Study

AGAna Sofía GuerraKAKelly S. AndrewsBFBlake E. Feist

Key Points

  • This framework aims to select climate projections that accurately represent future marine conditions and their impacts on species and users.
  • Identifying relevant climate change scenarios
  • Analyzing potential impacts on marine species
  • Integrating future ocean conditions into planning
  • Climate projections will guide marine spatial planning for up to 35 years
  • Emphasizes the importance of future data over historical statistics
  • Supports decision-making in marine industries, including offshore energy development

Abstract

This document identifies the most appropriate climate change scenarios to employ during research efforts to understand the potential impacts of climate change on marine species and traditional ocean users, particularly in light of growing marine industry development along the U.S. West Coast. Given new development projects, such as offshore energy, will have permitting lifespans of 25–35 years with potential renewals extending to the end of the century, it is important to move beyond historical data and incorporate future ocean conditions into marine spatial planning.

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Cite This Study

Guerra et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d895be6c1944d70ce06d08https://doi.org/10.25923/8f27-nq63
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