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April 10, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Phantom Crossing as Template Artifact: Cosine-Modulated Λ and the DESI w(z) Signal

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BSBlake Shatto

Key Points

  • The research aims to explore the nature of the dark energy equation of state and its potential fitting issues leading to phantom crossing.
  • Analyzed distances using CPL parameterization of dark energy with a cosine modulation.
  • Investigated dark energy density across all redshifts using Friedmann equations.
  • Tested model against DESI DR2 BAO data and Pantheon+ supernovae.
  • Employed a Planck-calibrated prior for H₀.
  • Demonstrated that w_eff(z) remains greater than -1 at all redshifts with modulation.
  • Achieved ΔAIC = -2.1 compared to ΛCDM model despite equal parameter counts.
  • Predicted modulation zero-crossing at z_cross = 0.663 for future verification.

Abstract

DESI DR2 reports 2. 8–4. 2σ evidence that the dark energy equation of state w evolves with redshift, including an apparent "phantom crossing" through w = −1. We show that this crossing can arise as a fitting artifact. If the effective dark energy density carries a cosine modulation—as would occur in any cosmology where Λ occupies a standing-wave eigenmode on a bounded spatial domain—the Friedmann-inverted equation of state satisfies wₑff (z) > −1 at all redshifts. Yet fitting the resulting distances with the CPL parameterization w₀ + wₐ (1 − a) recovers w₀ > −1 and wₐ < 0, mimicking phantom crossing without exotic physics. Tested against DESI DR2 BAO data, Pantheon+ supernovae, and a Planck-calibrated H₀rₐ prior, the modulated model achieves ΔAIC = −2. 1 over ΛCDM at the same parameter count (k = 2). The modulation zero-crossing at zcross = 0. 663 is registered prior to Euclid DR1 as a falsifiable prediction.

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Cite This Study

Blake Shatto (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d896166c1944d70ce07556https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19473458
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Λ Constant, w Evolving: A Topological Resolution2026
  2. 2DESI DR2 Phantom Crossing as an Apparent Effect of Irreversible Dark Energy–Dark Matter Interaction Along the Arrow of Time2026
  3. 3Could We Be Fooled about Phantom Crossing?2025
  4. 4A finite branching budget for dark energy: a forced map from the phantom crossing to (w0, wa), direct fits to DESI DR2 data, and pre-registered kill conditions2026
  5. 5A no-phantom obstruction for late-time dark energy in IKKT/Yang emergent gravity: a falsifiable w≥−1 prediction and an honest negative result.2026