This analysis reveals that phantom crossing in dark energy may stem from fitting artifacts, indicating new insights into cosmology.
DESI DR2 reports 2.8–4.2σ evidence that the dark energy equation of state w evolves with redshift, including an apparent "phantom crossing" through w = −1. We show that this crossing can arise as a fitting artifact. If the effective dark energy density carries a cosine modulation—as would occur in any cosmology where Λ occupies a standing-wave eigenmode on a bounded spatial domain—the Friedmann-inverted equation of state satisfies w_eff(z) > −1 at all redshifts. Yet fitting the resulting distances with the CPL parameterization w₀ + wₐ(1 − a) recovers w₀ > −1 and wₐ < 0, mimicking phantom crossing without exotic physics. Tested against DESI DR2 BAO data, Pantheon+ supernovae, and a Planck-calibrated H₀rₐ prior, the modulated model achieves ΔAIC = −2.1 over ΛCDM at the same parameter count (k = 2). The modulation zero-crossing at z_cross = 0.663 is registered prior to Euclid DR1 as a falsifiable prediction.
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Blake Shatto (2026) studied this question.
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