Nongrowing season methane emissions–a significant component of annual emissions across northern ecosystems

Wetlands are the single largest natural source of atmospheric methane (CH₄ ), a greenhouse gas, and occur extensively in the northern hemisphere. Large discrepancies remain between "bottom-up" and "top-down" estimates of northern CH₄ emissions. To explore whether these discrepancies are due to poor representation of nongrowing season CH₄ emissions, we synthesized nongrowing season and annual CH₄ flux measurements from temperate, boreal, and tundra wetlands and uplands. Median nongrowing season wetland emissions ranged from 0.9 g/m² in bogs to 5.2 g/m² in marshes and were dependent on moisture, vegetation, and permafrost. Annual wetland emissions ranged from 0.9 g m⁻² year⁻¹ in tundra bogs to 78 g m⁻² year⁻¹ in temperate marshes. Uplands varied from CH₄ sinks to CH₄ sources with a median annual flux of 0.0 ± 0.2 g m⁻² year⁻¹ . The measured fraction of annual CH₄ emissions during the nongrowing season (observed: 13% to 47%) was significantly larger than that was predicted by two process-based model ensembles, especially between 40° and 60°N (modeled: 4% to 17%). Constraining the model ensembles with the measured nongrowing fraction increased total nongrowing season and annual CH₄ emissions. Using this constraint, the modeled nongrowing season wetland CH₄ flux from >40° north was 6.1 ± 1.5 Tg/year, three times greater than the nongrowing season emissions of the unconstrained model ensemble. The annual wetland CH₄ flux was 37 ± 7 Tg/year from the data-constrained model ensemble, 25% larger than the unconstrained ensemble. Considering nongrowing season processes is critical for accurately estimating CH₄ emissions from high-latitude ecosystems, and necessary for constraining the role of wetland emissions in a warming climate.