Modeling of Water Quality in Deep Tunnels Coupling Temperature–Depth Effects

As large-scale underground storage infrastructure, deep tunnels exhibit distinct water quality dynamics driven by ground temperature gradients. Currently, there is limited investigation into water quality modeling for deep tunnel systems. Unraveling the correlation between temperature–depth gradients and water quality evolution is crucial for the operation and management of such systems. In this study, field experiments were carried out in the Qianhai–Nanshan Deep Tunnel to investigate complex water quality behavior, leading to the development of chemical oxygen demand (COD) and ammonia nitrogen (NH3–N) models that incorporate temporal variation, temperature, and burial depth. Results indicate that temperature is the dominant factor influencing water quality in deep tunnel storage. Increased ground temperature promotes the degradation and mass transport of pollutants within the tunnel system. Owing to temperature–depth effects, the deeply buried Qianhai tunnel significantly reduces river discharge pollution after water storage, with COD and NH3–N removal rates reaching 74.9% and 26.8%, respectively. Temperature-controlled experiments showed that COD and NH3–N reduction rates varied between 60–94% and 10–30% across a temperature range of 20–34 °C. The proposed model was validated against experimental data, achieving Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficients of 0.7–0.8. This study provides a methodological foundation for simulating complex aquatic environments and offers a decision-support tool for optimizing the operational strategies of deep tunnel systems. However, the model’s current generalization capability is constrained by the limited experimental conditions (20–34 °C, 12 days) and the lack of experimental replicates, which should be systematically addressed in future studies.