Estimating the cause-specific relative risks of non-optimal temperature on daily mortality: a two-part modelling approach applied to the Global Burden of Disease Study

Katrin Burkart; Michael Bräuer; Aleksandr Y. Aravkin; William Godwin; Simon I Hay; Jiawei He; Vincent C Iannucci; Samantha Leigh Larson; Stephen S Lim; Jiangmei Liu; Christopher J L Murray; Peng Zheng; Maigeng Zhou; Jeffrey D Stanaway

doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(21)01700-1

August 1, 2021The LancetOpen Access

Estimating the cause-specific relative risks of non-optimal temperature on daily mortality: a two-part modelling approach applied to the Global Burden of Disease Study

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Key Points

To estimate cause-specific relative risks of daily mortality associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures using a two-part statistical framework within the Global Burden of Disease Study.
Applied a two-part statistical modelling framework to estimate temperature-mortality associations across multiple causes of death.
Integrated daily temperature exposure data with epidemiological records aligned with the Global Burden of Disease Study infrastructure.
Quantified non-linear and cause-specific mortality burdens attributable to both cold and heat anomalies.
Established relative risk curves across diverse causes of death to improve global environmental health burden estimation.

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Epidemiological modelling reveals cause-specific daily mortality risks from non-optimal temperatures globally, highlighting targeted public health climate risks.

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Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

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Burkart et al. (2021) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69df4c066324afb55d592415 https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(21)01700-1

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Estimating the cause-specific relative risks of non-optimal temperature on daily mortality: a two-part modelling approach applied to the Global Burden of Disease Study

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Implication

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Estimating the cause-specific relative risks of non-optimal temperature on daily mortality: a two-part modelling approach applied to the Global Burden of Disease Study

Key Points

No abstract yet

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Implication

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

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