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April 18, 2026European Journal of Preventive Cardiology2 citations

Prediabetes and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis, and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis

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RDRanim DiyabEBEmir BawaKAKaltham Al-Naaimi

Key Result

Prediabetes is associated with a modest but statistically significant increase in atrial fibrillation risk, with evidence of a dose-dependent relationship across the glycemic spectrum.

Key Points

  • This research aims to explore the relationship between prediabetes and the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), along with its dose-dependent effects.
  • Conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies linking prediabetes to AF risk.
  • Analyzed data to assess the strength and nature of the relationship across various glycemic levels.
  • Performed a dose-response meta-analysis to evaluate the association across the glycemic spectrum.
  • Prediabetes is linked to a modest but significant increase in AF risk.
  • Evidence shows a dose-dependent relationship between glycemia and AF incidence.
  • Findings suggest that dysglycemia may contribute to AF before diabetes is diagnosed.

Study Design

Type

Meta-Analysis

Structured PICO

Does prediabetes increase the risk of atrial fibrillation?

P
Population
Individuals with prediabetes
I
Intervention
Prediabetes (exposure)
O
Outcome
Atrial fibrillation (AF) riskhard clinical

Prediabetes is associated with a dose-dependent increase in the risk of atrial fibrillation, suggesting dysglycemia contributes to AF pathogenesis prior to overt diabetes.

Abstract

Prediabetes is associated with a modest but statistically significant increase in AF risk, with evidence of a dose-dependent relationship across the glycemic spectrum. These findings suggest that dysglycemia may contribute to AF pathogenesis before the clinical threshold for diabetes is reached. Further research is needed to determine whether glycemic interventions in prediabetes can reduce AF incidence and to elucidate the mechanistic pathways linking intermediate hyperglycemia to atrial arrhythmogenesis.

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Cite This Study

Diyab et al. (2026) conducted a meta-analysis in Prediabetes and Atrial Fibrillation. Prediabetes was evaluated on Atrial Fibrillation risk. Prediabetes is associated with a modest but statistically significant increase in atrial fibrillation risk, with evidence of a dose-dependent relationship across the glycemic spectrum.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e320fd40886becb654021ehttps://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag215
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