Simulation-Based Safety Evaluation of Mixed Traffic with Autonomous Vehicles in Seaports

The increasing deployment of autonomous vehicles in port logistics requires safety assessment methods that remain valid in mixed traffic environments. This study evaluates the safety of mixed automated guided vehicle (AGV) and human-driven vehicle (HDV) traffic in a seaport terminal connected to an external urban road network. A microscopic traffic model was developed in AIMSUN Next to represent gate areas, internal roads, storage-yard access, berth interfaces, and external container-truck traffic. HDVs were modeled using a Gipps-based car-following model, whereas AGVs were represented through an Adaptive Cruise Control framework. Vehicle trajectories were exported to the Surrogate Safety Assessment Model (SSAM), where Time-to-Collision (TTC) and Post-Encroachment Time (PET) were used to detect and classify conflicts. Six staged fleet-composition scenarios were evaluated in 36 simulation runs, ranging from fully human-driven operation to full automation. Total conflicts decreased from 89 in the fully human-driven scenario to 43 in the fully automated scenario (−51.7%), while rear-end conflicts decreased from 70 to 30 (−57.1%). Crossing conflicts remained relatively stable across scenarios. At the same time, mean TTC decreased from 0.80 to 0.24 s and mean PET from 1.57 to 0.38 s, indicating tighter but more coordinated interactions under automated control. These results show that automation improves longitudinal safety performance in port traffic, but also that conventional TTC and PET thresholds calibrated for human-driven traffic may not be directly applicable to automated port operations. Automation-sensitive surrogate safety criteria are therefore needed for seaport mixed-traffic evaluation.