This analysis estimates the impact of a national contribution-matching scheme on retirement savings, highlighting responses and limitations due to financial constraints.
Concerns over the adequacy of retirement incomes have led governments to incentivise low- and middle-income earners to contribute more to private pensions. In this study we exploit several reforms using a simulated instruments approach and administrative data to estimate the impacts of a targeted national contribution-matching scheme in Australia across 50%, 100% and 150% match rates. Overall, we find that responses increase with the match rate, are modest in size and are mostly unwound when eligibility is lost. Sub-group analysis highlights the possibility that responses are limited by liquidity constraints. We find little evidence that the scheme crowds-out other savings.
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Chan et al. (2026) studied this question.
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