Efficient Battery State of Health Estimation Using Lightweight ML Models Based on Limited Voltage Measurements

Accurate estimation of lithium-ion battery State of Health (SoH) is critical for emerging applications such as reconfigurable battery systems. Although data-driven machine learning methods are promising, they often rely on costly, time-intensive aging experiments and extensive feature engineering. This work proposes a lightweight SoH-prediction framework validated on both physics-informed synthetic aging data and the NASA battery aging dataset. We evaluated Random Forest (RF) and Feedforward Neural Network (FNN) models that use only a limited number of samples from an early segment of the raw discharge voltage curve as input. Results show that RF consistently outperforms FNN across input sizes in deterministic or noise-free environments, achieving an RMSE of 0.07% SoH using just 5 voltage samples. In inherently stochastic experimental data, however, FNN can achieve an RMSE 50% lower than RF (1.28 vs. 2.87), but requires 37× more mathematical operations per inference. These findings emphasize the predictive value of the early-discharge-voltage region and demonstrate that compact, low-feature-complexity models can deliver accurate SoH estimates. Overall, the approach supports a goal of combining informed synthetic data with limited real measurements to build robust, scalable SoH predictors, reducing dependence on labor-intensive degradation testing and feature-heavy pipelines.