Objective Classification of Convective Precipitation in Chengdu Terminal Area Using a Self-Organizing Map and Its Impacts on Terminal Area Operations

Based on hourly reanalysis data during 2010–2020, the Self-Organizing Map method is used to objectively classify convective precipitation events in the Chengdu terminal area. Combined with circulation background characteristics, the results are further grouped into three typical synoptic types. Among these three types, Type 1, characterized by a pattern with strong high pressure and abundant water vapor, yields the most intense precipitation. Type 2, a pattern with moderately strong high pressure and water vapor convergence, produces the second-highest precipitation. Type 3, associated with a low trough and weak water vapor conditions, has the weakest precipitation. Two indicators of the Weather Severity Index (WSI) and Node Coverage Index (NCI), respectively describing the coverage extent of heavy precipitation over the terminal area and over key arrival and departure nodes, are established and calculated based on heavy precipitation samples. The results show that Type 1 exhibits the highest WSI and NCI values, indicating the greatest potential impact. Type 2 displays a lower WSI than Type 1 but retains a relatively higher NCI, suggesting a more directionally biased impact, whereas Type 3 records the lowest values for both indicators, indicating a relatively weak impact. The integration of synoptic weather classification and spatial impact indicators offers a reference for weather-impact identification and scenario-based operational assessment in terminal areas. However, some limitations remain in the current study. The weather classification is primarily based on reanalysis data, and the correspondence between the WSI/NCI and actual airport operational constraints requires further validation.