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April 23, 2026Seismological Research Letters2 citationsOpen Access

Surface Rupture and Slip Distribution of the 2025 Mw 7.7 Mandalay Earthquake and Updated Length Scaling of Supershear Earthquakes

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NRNadine G. ReitmanYWYue WangYKYu-Ting Kuo

Key Points

  • To analyze the characteristics and distribution of the Mandalay earthquake's surface rupture and slip, and to update scaling relationships for supershear earthquakes.
  • Analyzed optical images from Sentinel-2, Planet Dove, SkySat, and WorldView for surface rupture mapping and slip distribution.
  • Used subpixel correlation for detailed faulting analysis.
  • Compiled data on 25 supershear earthquakes to reassess length-magnitude scaling.
  • The Mandalay earthquake exhibited a rupture length significantly longer than expected based on existing scaling relations.
  • Moderate surface slip was recorded, averaging 3.3 m, with a maximum of 5.6 m.
  • A new length-magnitude scaling relationship for supershear earthquakes was established, indicating longer ruptures than subshear events.

Abstract

Abstract The 2025 Mw 7.7 Mandalay, Burma (Myanmar), earthquake ruptured 475 km of the central Sagaing fault and is the longest continental strike-slip rupture on record. The observed rupture length is 1.6–4.7 times the value expected (100–300 km) from existing length–magnitude scaling relations for strike-slip earthquakes. The earthquake resulted from shallow dextral faulting and ruptured bilaterally with supershear speeds south of the epicenter, rupturing close to three major cities in Myanmar and exposing more than six million people to violent or extreme shaking. We report on the surface rupture character, length, and slip distribution based on subpixel correlation of Sentinel-2 (10 m) and Planet Dove (3 m) optical images and visual analysis of SkySat and WorldView (0.3–0.5 m) optical images. The earthquake had moderate surface slip (average = 3.3 m, maximum = 5.6 m, 25%–75%, range = 3.0–4.0 m), narrow deformation zone width (1–10 pixels in subpixel correlation and ≤190 m for the detailed surface rupture mapping), and simple fault geometry (no stepovers or large changes in strike, 87% of the rupture that was mapped in detail is single stranded). We attribute the extreme length of the Mandalay earthquake to supershear rupture speed, simple fault geometry, narrow down-dip width, and moderate surface slip. Based on a compilation of 25 supershear strike-slip earthquakes (Mw 6.5–8.6; 1979–2025), we find that the rupture length of supershear earthquakes does not fit empirical scaling relationships for strike-slip earthquakes that predict length from magnitude. A length–magnitude scaling relationship based on supershear earthquakes has a best fit of log10 (surface rupture length) = 0.89 Mw – 4.44, indicating that supershear earthquakes tend to be longer than their subshear counterparts for any given magnitude and thus may expose a greater population to shaking.

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Cite This Study

Reitman et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e9b9e385696592c86ec4f0https://doi.org/10.1785/0220250257
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