A prediction model for corrosion rate in metal pipes using a machine learning model achieved over 80% accuracy, indicating effective outcomes for high chromium content tubes.
The phenomenon of CO2 corrosion of downhole tubing is widespread in oil and gas extraction. Currently, there is a lack of applicable prediction methods for the corrosion rates of different metal tubing in the liquid phase CO2 environment. To address this issue, this paper systematically investigates the anti-corrosion mechanisms and influencing factors of different metal casings and proposes a deep learning model combining convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory networks. Based on laboratory corrosion experimental data, the model extracts spatial features of parameters affecting the corrosion rate through CNN and captures their temporal dependencies through LSTM. This paper builds a pipe corrosion rate prediction model based on the TensorFlow framework and compares the prediction results with those of the traditional D-W empirical model and the SRV machine learning model. The results showed that the CNN-LSTM model maintained high prediction accuracy regardless of high or low chromium content, with R2 reaching 0.83 and 0.94 respectively, solving the problem that existing models have difficulty effectively simulating complex corrosion behavior under flowing corrosive media conditions. The model was verified using the remaining wall thickness of the actual application casing in the field, and the accuracy was over 80%. The established prediction method can be extended to predict the corrosion rate of pipes under similar corrosion conditions.
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Bai et al. (2026) studied this question.
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