What question did this study set out to answer?

Determine whether the demobilizing effects of negative political advertising observed in controlled experiments replicate in observational survey and aggregate voting data.

December 1, 1999American Political Science Review

Replicating Experiments Using Aggregate and Survey Data: The Case of Negative Advertising and Turnout

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Authors

SAStephen AnsolabehereHarvard University SIShanto IyengarStanford University ASAdam F. SimonUniversity of California, Los Angeles

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Implication

Econometric analysis demonstrates demobilizing effects of negative political advertising in voters, indicating reduced turnout across survey and aggregate data.

Key Points

Determine whether the demobilizing effects of negative political advertising observed in controlled experiments replicate in observational survey and aggregate voting data.
Evaluated survey recall measures from the National Election Studies (NES) for bias introduced by measurement error and simultaneity.
Estimated causal effects of advertising exposure within NES survey data using instrumental variable methods.
Conducted a statistical reanalysis of aggregate voter turnout data from the 1992 U.S. Senate elections.
Instrumental variable models on NES survey data demonstrated that negative advertising causes a significant decrease in voter turnout after correcting for recall bias.
Reanalysis of aggregate turnout data from the 1992 Senate elections independently confirmed that negative advertising demobilizes the electorate.

Cite This Study

Ansolabehere et al. (1999) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69f382d660ec2f724f0dbd17 https://doi.org/10.2307/2586120

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Implication

Econometric analysis demonstrates demobilizing effects of negative political advertising in voters, indicating reduced turnout across survey and aggregate data.

Replicating Experiments Using Aggregate and Survey Data: The Case of Negative Advertising and Turnout

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

Replicating Experiments Using Aggregate and Survey Data: The Case of Negative Advertising and Turnout

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

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