Prognostic utility of 64-slice computed tomography in patients with suspected but no documented coronary artery disease

AIMS: Although multislice computed tomography (MSCT) detects obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) with high diagnostic accuracy, there is a paucity of long-term prognostic data. We sought to assess the incremental prognostic value of 64-slice CT in patients with suspected but no documented CAD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Coronary MSCT was performed on 227 individuals (61% men, mean age 54 +/- 12 years, 63% with intermediate pre-test probability) without documented CAD, referred for coronary evaluation. Coronary artery disease by MSCT was categorized as follows: none or mild CAD (<50%, n = 172), > or =50% in one vessel (n = 23), two vessels [or in the proximal left anterior descending (LAD), n = 12], and three vessels (or in two vessels including the proximal LAD or left main, n = 20). Baseline risk factors, length of follow-up, and major adverse cardiac events (MACE), including cardiac death, myocardial infarction (MI), and coronary revascularization were recorded. Over a mean follow-up of 2.3 +/- 0.8 years, there were 18 MACE [including four hard events (one cardiac death and three MIs)]. Also, patients with one or more vessel obstructive CAD had increased hard events compared with those with less than one-vessel disease (log-rank statistic P-value 0.01). One or more vessel obstructive CAD was a significant predictor of MACE on univariable and multivariable Cox proportional survival analysis [hazard ratios 29.1 (6.7-126.6) and 9.82 (3.58-27.01), respectively, both P < 0.0001]. In 172 patients, with no or mild CAD, there was 99% freedom from MACE during follow-up. CONCLUSION: Multislice computed tomography-classified extent of CAD provides incremental prognostic information in patients with suspected but no documented CAD.