Using administrative data, the study shows reduced university enrollment after secondary schooling reform, indicating potential long-term effects.
We examine the consequences of compressing secondary schooling on university enrollment. An unusual education reform in Germany reduced the length of academic high school while simultaneously increasing the instruction hours in the remaining years. Accordingly, students receive the same amount of schooling but over a shorter period of time, constituting an efficiency gain from an individual’s perspective. Based on a differencein- differences approach and using administrative data on all students in Germany, we find that this reform decreased university enrollment rates. Moreover, students are more likely to delay their enrollment, to drop out of university, and to change their major. We discuss supply side restrictions, age differences, and increased workload during school as potential mechanisms and present back-of-the-envelope cost-benefit considerations showing that the earnings gain from an extended
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Jan Marcus (2019) studied this question.
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