Randomized trial examines the effects of anthropogenic changes on breeding success in desert cooperative breeders, suggesting modified habitats may provide refugia.
Habitat modification and climate change are major threats to biodiversity. Using 38 years of data (1985–2023), we examined their combined influence on a desert‐dwelling cooperative breeder's reproductive success and projected the likely magnitude of future effects of these threats under two climate scenarios for the end of the century (2100). In natural habitats, rainfall increases reproductive success, while extreme temperatures reduce survival. Human‐modified habitats buffer against climate extremes, resulting in higher reproductive success even in dry and hot conditions. Future projections indicate likely declines in lifetime reproductive success in natural habitats, but the same projected declines are not observed in modified habitats, which may offer temporary refugia against climate effects. In both habitats, larger social groups had higher reproductive success and survival rates, highlighting the important role of helpers in cooperatively breeding species. Our findings highlight the need to assess multiple anthropogenic factors to fully understand their impact on species' fitness and the importance of long‐term datasets in addressing the complex relationship between the multiple drivers of anthropogenic change. Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog.
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Alamán et al. (2026) studied this question.
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