Examines financial connectedness influenced by AI-related assets, suggesting structural changes in networks.
The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence (AI), particularly with the rise of generative AI technologies, has attracted increasing attention in financial markets. This study examines how the recent AI boom relates to changes in the interconnectedness of global financial markets. Using daily data from January 2021 to December 2025, we analyze spillover dynamics among AI-related equities, cryptocurrencies, and traditional financial assets within a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) framework. Our findings indicate that the emergence of generative AI is not associated with a uniform increase in financial connectedness. Instead, the overall level of connectedness declines modestly following the public release of ChatGPT by OPENAI in November 2022, while the structure of spillovers undergoes significant changes. In particular, AI-related equities initially act as net transmitters of shocks, but their relative importance diminishes over time. In contrast, broader equity markets, proxied by the S&P 500, remain the dominant source of spillovers throughout the sample period. These results are robust to alternative model specifications, including different lag lengths and forecast horizons. Overall, the findings suggest that the impact of AI on financial markets is better understood as a structural transformation of interconnectedness rather than a simple intensification of linkages. This study contributes to the literature by providing new evidence on how technological innovation reshapes financial spillover networks and highlights the importance of considering both the level and structure of connectedness in assessing systemic risk.
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Shigeyuki Hamori (2026) studied this question.
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