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May 9, 2026Open Access

Market intelligence for cotton in Tamil Nadu

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Authors

MAM. AmmaanRSR. SudhaPAP. Anuradha

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Overview

Randomized trial finds effective price forecasting for cotton in Tamil Nadu, highlighting market trends.

Key Points

  • The aim is to identify the best model for forecasting cotton prices and validate it with actual market data.
  • Time series data was collected from Konganapuram market from 2009 to 2023.
  • ARIMA (1, 0, 0) model was utilized for price forecasting.
  • Forecasting covered future prices from 2019 to 2023.
  • Forecast prices indicate a peak of Rs. 8,000 - 8,500 per quintal in August-October 2022.
  • Lowest prices recorded were Rs. 4,200 - 4,400 per quintal in July-August 2021.
  • Forecast validation showed approximately 94-100 percent accuracy.

Cite This Study

Ammaan et al. (2023) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69fed16ab9154b0b82878b57https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.399920
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