What question did this study set out to answer?

To determine the global time of emergence for anthropogenic changes in climate extremes relative to natural variability and seasonal means.

September 1, 2015Environmental Research LettersOpen Access

The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes

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To determine the global time of emergence for anthropogenic changes in climate extremes relative to natural variability and seasonal means.
Analyzed simulations from state-of-the-art global climate models.
Tracked when forced changes in temperature and precipitation extremes exceed the bounds of quasi-natural historical variability.
Temperature extremes emerge slightly later than seasonal means due to greater natural variability, yet hot and cold extremes have already emerged across many regions.
Precipitation extremes are projected to emerge in the coming decades during Northern Hemisphere winters due to an anthropogenically driven wettening trend.
Local extreme weather events are projected to differ significantly from their quasi-natural states either currently or in the near future.

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Implication

Climate modeling study reveals that temperature and precipitation extremes are emerging globally beyond natural variability, indicating widespread human-driven shifts in severe weather patterns.

Cite This Study

King et al. (2015) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a00bdc04716aad0cc85cbc7 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094015

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Implication

Climate modeling study reveals that temperature and precipitation extremes are emerging globally beyond natural variability, indicating widespread human-driven shifts in severe weather patterns.

The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes

Key Points

Discussion

Implication

Cite This Study

The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes

Key Points

Discussion

Implication

Cite This Study

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