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Demonstrates predictive power of machine learning for EV charging management, suggesting improved grid stability.
As the shift to electric mobility intensifies, unpredictable EV charging challenges grid stability. This study proposes a multi-layered machine learning framework balancing grid optimization and user service. First, session-level prediction models estimated energy and cost; XGBoost achieved the highest energy accuracy (R²=0.59), while Random Forest best predicted cost (R²=0.80). Second, a station-level forecasting model using XGBoost demonstrated exceptional precision for daily demand (R²=0.95, MAE=0.90 kWh). Finally, K-Means clustering segmented drivers, revealing a user base dominated by Heavy Energy Users (43.5%) and Occasional Visitors (38.8%). This segmentation enables Charge Point Operators to design personalized services and demand response strategies. Overall, the framework integrates prediction, forecasting, and behavioral segmentation to support scalable, data-driven decisions. Ultimately, these insights equip utility providers and operators with the necessary tools to proactively manage load congestion and optimize capital expenditure planning.
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Sreekumar et al. (2026) studied this question.
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