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Abstract C 4 photosynthesis had a mid‐Tertiary origin that was tied to declining atmospheric CO 2 , but C 4 ‐dominated grasslands did not appear until late Tertiary. According to the ‘CO 2 ‐threshold’ model, these C 4 grasslands owe their origin to a further late Miocene decline in CO 2 that gave C 4 grasses a photosynthetic advantage. This model is most appropriate for explaining replacement of C 3 grasslands by C 4 grasslands, however, fossil evidence shows C 4 grasslands replaced woodlands. An additional weakness in the threshold model is that recent estimates do not support a late Miocene drop in p CO 2 . We hypothesize that late Miocene climate changes created a fire climate capable of replacing woodlands with C 4 grasslands. Critical elements were seasonality that sustained high biomass production part of year, followed by a dry season that greatly reduced fuel moisture, coupled with a monsoon climate that generated abundant lightning‐igniting fires. As woodlands became more open from burning, the high light conditions favoured C 4 grasses over C 3 grasses, and in a feedback process, the elevated productivity of C 4 grasses increased highly combustible fuel loads that further increased fire activity. This hypothesis is supported by paleosol data that indicate the late Miocene expansion of C 4 grasslands was the result of grassland expansion into more mesic environments and by charcoal sediment profiles that parallel the late Miocene expansion of C 4 grasslands. Many contemporary C 4 grasslands are fire dependent and are invaded by woodlands upon cessation of burning. Thus, we maintain that the factors driving the late Miocene expansion of C 4 were the same as those responsible for maintenance of C 4 grasslands today.
Keeley et al. (Thu,) studied this question.